US Department of Justice Releases Recidivism of Sex Offender Study
The US Department of Justice Bureau of Justice Statistics released a report this month entitled, “Recidivism of Sex Ofenders Released from State Prison: A 9-Year Follow-Up (2005-14)”. As reported by NARSOL, the new study shows sexual offense recidivism rates lower that previous estimates.
- The median sentence length among prisoners released in 30 states in 2005 after serving time for rape or sexual assault (60 months) was longer than the median sentence length among all prisoners (36 months)
- Sex offenders were less likely than other released prisoners to be arrested during the 9 years following release
- The longer sex offenders went without being arrested after release, the less likely they were to be arrested during the 9-year follow-up period.
- The majority of arrests for a specific type of crime did not involve those who had been in prison for the same type of offense.
- At the end of the 9-year follow-up period, male sex offenders had a lower cumulative arrest percentage than all male prisoners.
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As a follow-up, I have written a new report based on the misleading claim that ‘sex offenders are three times more likely to reoffend” as headlined by the BJS in their press release.
Lets not forget the current political “spin cycle” that gets applied to all news.
My guess is this will be, “Success of the registry can be seen in the reduction of recidivists from previous frightening and high levels.”
I found this sentence interesting:
“Released prisoners whose most serious commitment offense was a non-violent sex offense, such as prostitution or pornography, are included with public-order offenders.”
So can I get my status changed from “Sex Offender” to “Public-Order Offender?” LOL
LEOs and Floriduh Legislators will just look at the cover page and say:
Rape and sexual assault offenders were more likely than other released prisoners to be arrested for rape or sexual assault
Released sex offenders were more than three times as likely as other released prisoners to be arrested for rape or sexual assault
Half of released sex offenders had a subsequent arrest that led to a conviction
No more decisions based on Psychology Magazine?
We will continue to see such decisions until these stats are properly argued in court enough times to cause the “frightening and high” precedent to be overturned.
I am sorry if this is off topic I was wondering if I could get an answer I Am Not Asking For Legal Advice Is it 8 years or 12 years one must wait to asked for his firearm authority back to file with Florida Governor office? I saw 8 years on application and then I saw someone write 12 years here on the threads. Respectfully
@beefstew327,
Here are the official rules of executive clemency:
https://www.fcor.state.fl.us/docs/clemency/clemency_rules.pdf
Good luck making sense of them!
Thanks JZ You right they very confusing. No wonder that state is so mess up
What I see out of this is initially it doesn’t look good as there recidivism rates seem higher than other studies. But then they are only comparing those with prison sentences which is only a fraction of those put on the registry. But also of the almost 400,000 they say 20,000 are for rape or serious assault that’s 5%. And only a fraction of that is against minors. But these important distinctions are missing. So in my opinion they are purposely leaving out statistics that would make the registry seam deceptive in its design to make all on the registry to appear on a par with rapists and violent assaulters.