US Department of Justice Releases Recidivism of Sex Offender Study
The US Department of Justice Bureau of Justice Statistics released a report this month entitled, “Recidivism of Sex Ofenders Released from State Prison: A 9-Year Follow-Up (2005-14)”. As reported by NARSOL, the new study shows sexual offense recidivism rates lower that previous estimates.
- The median sentence length among prisoners released in 30 states in 2005 after serving time for rape or sexual assault (60 months) was longer than the median sentence length among all prisoners (36 months)
- Sex offenders were less likely than other released prisoners to be arrested during the 9 years following release
- The longer sex offenders went without being arrested after release, the less likely they were to be arrested during the 9-year follow-up period.
- The majority of arrests for a specific type of crime did not involve those who had been in prison for the same type of offense.
- At the end of the 9-year follow-up period, male sex offenders had a lower cumulative arrest percentage than all male prisoners.
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WOW, is all about I can say.
So will this be the new standard for judicial reference? Scotus would have to defer to these numbers rather than the inflated ones?
SCOTUS won’t have to use them, but they WILL have to consider them IF they are properly presented to them in case arguments.
Given that “frightening and high” remains court precedent, they will need to be particularly persuasive.
It so happens, though, that even without this new study, there already was enough data at the time to show that “frightening and high” was incorrect. It just wasn’t properly argued before SCOTUS.
FAC’s “ex post facto plus” filings I think do a good job laying the groundwork for the argument that SCOTUS erred so badly with “frightening and high” that they MUST reverse themselves less than two decades later.
As long as Justice Kennedy sits on SCOTUS The other Justices will not go against this “frighting and high” statement . Either Justice Kennedy admits he was wrong and fixes it himself or He excuses himself from office. Then the other Justices might do something. Either way no other Justice going to say different till Justice Kennedy departs, admits wrongfully the facts and data are wrong.
The other problem Is Lawmakers want to include their agenda and faith. Let us Continue to keep church and state separate because all I see is “Christian” Lawmakers make laws for us but yet escape the same fate that awaits for one of us.
Pretty sure Kennedy is no longer a SCOTUS justice.
Kennedy was replaced by Kavanaugh.
Good! Now defendants/plaintiffs must start filing the DOJ recognizes low rates of recidivism as evidence in their cases to get courts to recognize the truth.
So rapists have a 7.7% recidivism rate? I wonder what the rate is for serious property crime? Wonder what the rate is for sex offenders who did not go to prison or commit a forcible sex crime? They actually had folks convicted of sex offenses who didn’t go to prison back in 2005.
Dearest rates are not accurate recidivism rates because only half of those arrested were convicted.
Not surprising and common sense to most of us. But we all know these reports are meaningless in the hands of legislators. They are going to vote and propose idiot bills to benefit them and boost their image rather than pay attention to inconvenient facts.
As long as the prison and therapy industrial complexes in Florida are thriving off of sex charges and as long as the Federal Govt continues allowing these swindling sheriffs in these Florida counties to continue running sting operations and getting the grant money, do you HONESTLY think anything will change???
Thank you for interpreting this study. I started reading and it seemed dismal and just got overwhelmed and stopped. I hope lawmakers will take the time to understand the statistics. They never have before.
Remember that the DOJ will always present the facts in the light most favorable to law enforcement. After all – that’s what feeds their jobs.
Also feeds the lies and propaganda that keep the entire political machine in the Dysfunction States is America going by ignoring reality and keeping everyone’s head in the sand ignoring pesky things like scientific statistical proof and the most troubling of all to politicians – Common Sense!